Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
10s loop · max 10 · floor 0.91 · ceil 0.99
This Kalshi strategy trades the KXHYPE15M market and evaluates every 10 seconds, with a position limit of 10 contracts and YES/NO prices constrained to 0.91–0.99. Rules are checked top-to-bottom and the first match ends that tick. Rule 1 buys 10 YES when position size is zero, time to expiry is between 0 and 30 seconds, spread is at most 0.02, YES best ask is within 0.91–0.99, and HYPE price sits above its one-hour VWAP, 12-minute EMA, and 20-minute SMA while 5-minute change and 1-minute velocity are both positive. Rule 2 buys 10 NO on the mirror conditions: flat position, expiry within 0–30 seconds, spread at most 0.02, NO best ask within 0.91–0.99, and HYPE price below all three trend references with change and velocity both negative. Rule 3 cancels all orders once time to expiry is zero or less. Entries are capped at one per market and $10 total spend per market, with spent budget not released by later sells.
Net P&L +$5+52.4% return
Sharpe 0.51
Win 92.9%small sample
Oct 17
30d Sep 15 to Oct 15
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses risk capital: the larger of the max-position limit and the most the run had in play at once, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.