Stack Momentum Graded Unwind

Starter is $49/month with 30 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXETH15M series, evaluating every 10 seconds with a maximum position of 90 contracts and prices bounded from 0.01 to 0.99. Rules run top to bottom, and the first match acts alone for that tick. It skips if position size exceeds 90, sells everything at a price of 0.98 or higher, and otherwise takes profit or stops out in per-fill tiers based on the size of that fill: 31 or fewer contracts exits at over 10 profit or under -14; 31 to 60 contracts exits at over 16 profit or under -30; 61 or more exits at over 30 profit (price at or under 0.90) or under -40. Entries of 30 contracts are all immediate-or-cancel, buying YES or NO depending on ETH price versus its 1-hour VWAP and 12-period 1-minute EMA, 5-minute change thresholds, 1-minute velocity, bid-ask spread, and price bands, including momentum, early-entry, and near-expiry variants.

Kalshi·Sep 15 to Oct 15 UTC·Created 11d ago

Net P&L

+$2,063

Return +2292.2% on Risk Capital

Sharpe

0.42

Return Sharpe

Win rate

71.4%

7481 trades

Max drawdown

-$1,261

Peak to Trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting Capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past Performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not Financial Advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.