Position-Graded Profit Ratchet

Starter is $49/month with 30 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin market, checking every 10 seconds and capping positions at 500 contracts. It exits first: selling everything when profit thresholds are met (12, 18, or 50 dollars depending on position size) or loss limits are hit (-8, -12, or -18 by size). Otherwise it enters in 20-contract trades, buying YES or NO based on Bitcoin's price relative to its hourly average, 12-minute and 20-minute averages, recent momentum and velocity, contract price bands, spread limits, and time left before expiry.

Kalshi·Aug 6 to Sep 5 UTC·Created 1mo ago

Net P&L

+$4,594

Return +918.8% on Risk Capital

Sharpe

1.67

Return Sharpe

Win rate

60.7%

2516 trades

Max drawdown

-$126

Peak to Trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting Capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past Performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not Financial Advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.