Win Rate Filters

On Kalshi's KXBTC15M market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds, capped at 50 contracts with YES prices limited to 0.01-0.99. Rules run top-to-bottom, first match wins. Exits: with 1-10 contracts, sell all if unrealized profit exceeds 1.2 and price is 0.1-0.9, or if loss exceeds 4; with 11-30 contracts, sell all if profit exceeds 1.8 and price is 0.1-0.9, or if loss exceeds 6; above 30 contracts, sell all if profit exceeds 5 or loss exceeds 15. A balance under 10.2 skips. Entries (each buys 10 contracts) require expiry between 2 and 7 minutes and spread at most 0.005: buy YES when price is above 1-hour VWAP and 1-minute EMA, 5-minute change exceeds 0.002, velocity is positive, price 0.35-0.65; buy NO on the mirror-down conditions. Buy YES when 5-minute change exceeds 0.0025, velocity positive, price 0.35-0.8; buy NO on the mirror-down. Buy YES when price 0.4-0.6, change positive, velocity positive, price above VWAP, 1-minute EMA above 20-minute SMA; buy NO on the mirror-down. With spread up to 0.02, buy YES when price is at least 0.88 and 15-minute high and BTC price both exceed 15; buy NO when price is at most 0.12 and 15-minute low and BTC price both exceed 15.